Wednesday - Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain in the afternoon. High of 91F with a heat index of 106F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Tue, 22 May 2012 11:00:00 EDT
000
WTNT31 KNHC 221438
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ALBERTO ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012012
1100 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012
...ALBERTO BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...THIS IS THE LAST
ADVISORY...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.1N 74.0W
ABOUT 170 MI...270 KM SSE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 295 MI...470 KM SSE OF NORFOLK VIRGINIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.0 WEST.
THE CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 17 MPH...28
KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 36
HOURS.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON ALBERTO. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
000
WTNT21 KNHC 221438
TCMAT1
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ALBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012012
1500 UTC TUE MAY 22 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 74.0W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 15 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 74.0W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 74.7W
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 34.6N 72.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 36.8N 69.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.1N 74.0W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON ALBERTO. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
000
WTNT41 KNHC 221438
TCDAT1
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ALBERTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012012
1100 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012
STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR HAS CONTINUED TO TAKE ITS TOLL ON ALBERTO.
THE CYCLONE NOW LACKS SUFFICIENT ORGANIZED CONVECTION TO BE
CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE. THEREFORE ADVISORIES ARE BEING
DISCONTINUED AT THIS TIME.
THE REMNANT LOW OF ALBERTO IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD OR 045/15. A
CONTINUED NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS LIKELY UNTIL THE SYSTEM LOSES ITS
IDENTITY.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 22/1500Z 33.1N 74.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12H 23/0000Z 34.6N 72.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 23/1200Z 36.8N 69.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 24/0000Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
000
FONT11 KNHC 221438
PWSAT1
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ALBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012012
1500 UTC TUE MAY 22 2012
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ALBERTO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 33.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED 2 8 NA NA NA NA NA
TROP DEPRESSION 62 51 NA NA NA NA NA
TROPICAL STORM 36 38 NA NA NA NA NA
HURRICANE X 2 NA NA NA NA NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 X 2 NA NA NA NA NA
HUR CAT 2 X X NA NA NA NA NA
HUR CAT 3 X X NA NA NA NA NA
HUR CAT 4 X X NA NA NA NA NA
HUR CAT 5 X X NA NA NA NA NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30KT 30KT NA NA NA NA NA
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1155 AM EDT SAT MAY 19 2012
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED ABOUT 120 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
HAS BEGUN TO ACQUIRE MORE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...AS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED NEAR THE CIRCULATION CENTER.
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE...AND IT COULD
BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES SLOWLY
SOUTHWARD OR WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM...
PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE. ADDITIONAL SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS WILL BE
ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM LATER TODAY OR SUNDAY...IF NECESSARY.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
&&
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
000
WTCA41 TJSJ 221453
TCPSP1
BOLETIN
CICLON POST TROPICAL ALBERTO ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 12 NWS CENTRO
NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL012012 TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 1100 AM EDT MARTES 22
DE MAYO DE 2012
...ALBERTO SE CONVIERTE EN UN CICLON POST TROPICAL...ESTA SERA LA
ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA...
RESUMEN DE LAS 11:00 AM EDT..1500 UTC...INFORMACION
--------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...33.1 NORTE 74.0 OESTE
CERCA DE 170 MILLAS...270 KILOMETROS AL SUR SURESTE DE CAPE HATTERAS
CAROLINA DEL NORTE
CERCA DE 295 MILLAS...470 KILOMETROS AL SUR SURESTE DE NORFOLK
VIRGINIA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NORESTE O 50 GRADOS A 17 MPH...28 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1008 MILIBARAS...29.77 PULGADAS
VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY ADVERTENCIAS O AVISOS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.
DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 11:00 AM EDT...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DEL CICLON POST TROPICAL
ALBERTO ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 33.1 NORTE...LONGITUD
74.0 OESTE. EL CICLON SE MUEVE HACIA EL NORESTE A CERCA DE 17 MPH...
28 KM/H...Y SE ESPERA ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE DURANTE EL
PROXIMO DIA O DOS.
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH...55 KM/H...CON
RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SEB PRONOSTICA QUE EL CICLON DEBE DISIPARSE
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 36 HORAS.
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 1008 MILIBARAS...29.77
PULGADAS.
PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
NINGUNO.
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
ESTA ES LA ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE
HURACANES SOBRE ALBERTO. IFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA
PUEDE ENCONTARSE EN LOS PRONOSTICOS DE ALTO MAR EMITIDO POR EL
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA...BAJO EL TITULO EN AWIPS
NFDHSFAT1 Y BAJO EL TITULO EN LA ORGANIZACION MUNDIAL DE LA
METEOROLOGIA FZNT01 KWBC.
$$
PRONOSTICADOR PASCH
PERSPECTIVA ESPECIAL SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1155 AM EDT SABADO 19 DE MAYO DE 2012
PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...
LAS IMAGENES DEL SATELITE Y RADAR INDICAN QUE EL AREA DE BAJA
PRESION LOCALIZADA CERCA DE 120 MILLAS SURESTE DE MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH
CAROLINA HA COMENZADO A ADQUIRIR CARACTERISTICAS MAS ACENTUADAS
HACIA UN SISTEMA TROPICAL...YA QUE LOS AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS HAN
AUMENTADO CERCA DEL CENTRO DE CIRCULACION. DESARROLLO ADICIONAL DE
ESTE SISTEMA ES POSIBLE...Y PODRIA CONVERTIRSE EN UNA DEPRESION
TROPICAL O TORMENA TROPICAL MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL
SUR U HACIA EL OESTE DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O DOS. ESTE SISTEMA
TIENE UNA PROBABILIDAD MEDIANA...CERCA DE 50 POR CIENTO...DE
CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.
PARA INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA...FAVOR REFERIRSE A
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA DE SU LOCALIDAD. PERSPECTIVAS ESPECIALES ADICIONALES
SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO SERAN EMITIDOS MAS
TARDE HOY O DURANTE EL DOMINGO...DE SER NECESARIO.
EN EL RESTO DEL AREA...NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.